Long-term job prospects in the Springfield area are best in health care, social services, mining, education, tourism, and professional and business services, based on projections from the state of Illinois. Not so much in manufacturing, agriculture and, well, state government.
Long-term job prospects in the Springfield area are best in health care, social services, mining, education, tourism, and professional and business services, based on projections from the state of Illinois.
Not so much in manufacturing, agriculture and, well, state government.
Employment experts and economists say thousands of the jobs lost since the Great Recession started two years ago this month are gone for good, including in Illinois, or at least won’t return to pre-recession numbers. Manufacturing has been hardest hit.
It also raises the question of where will the new jobs come from?
“It’s been a year like we’ve never experienced,” said Jim Britton, who has been in the local employment-services business for nearly 30 years.
Britton said there are glimmers of hiring as the year winds down, including at the Express Employment Professionals offices he co-owns with his wife, Carole, in Springfield and Bloomington. The couple also works with a network of nearly 30 other officers across Illinois and Indiana.
Not that employers are in a rush.
“We’re typically a six-to-nine month indicator of what’s coming. As companies are doing more work, they are more likely to reach out to temporary services first before hiring for long-term positions,” said Britton, who added that he intentionally uses “long-term” when describing the job outlook.
“I’m reluctant to say ‘permanent’ because nothing is really permanent anymore, but we are seeing an increase in long-term placements,” said Britton.
The fastest job growth locally will be in natural resources and mining, healthcare and social services, education, tourism, and professional and business services (architects, engineers, accounting and legal services), based on projections through 2016 from the Illinois Department of Employment Security.
Employment is forecast to be down or flat in manufacturing, farm production and government (local, state and federal). Local labor-market economist Ron Payne said he also expects Springfield to maintain its relatively low unemployment — at least in these times — compared to the rest of the state.
“Typically, it’s the second-lowest in the state (after Bloomington), and it’ll stay that way,” he said. “It’s just a lot higher than we’re accustomed to.”
Who is getting laid off?
Percentage of layoffs in 2008 (latest year available)
INDUSTRYProfessional and business services (includes temporary workers): 25 percent Manufacturing: 21 percent Construction-mining: 19 percent Retail trade: 10 percent Transportation-warehousing-utilities: 9 percent
EDUCATION9-11 years: 3 percent. 12 years: 27 percent 13-16 years: 15 percent 17 or more years: 1 percent
AGE GROUPSYounger than 30: 23 percent 30-44: 36 percent 45-54: 26 percent 55 and older: 15 percent
RACEAsian/Pacific: 2 percent Black: 21 percent Hispanic: 15 percent White: 61 percent
GENDERMen: 61 percent Women: 39 percent
Average weekly unemployment benefits, 2000-20092009: $330.78 2008: $309.53 2007: $302.40 2006: $289.22 2005: $282.62 2004: $276.96 2003: $279.56 2002: $278.84 2001: $269.36 2000: $250.22
Total annual benefits paid, 2000-20092009 (through November): $4.1 billion 2008: $2.3 billion 2007: $1.8 billion 2006: $1.7 billion 2005: $1.8 billion 2004: $2 billion 2003: $2.4 billion 2002: $2.5 billion 2001: $1.9 billion 2000: $1.2 billion
Average duration of benefits, in weeks, 2000-20092009: N/A 2008: 16.71 2007: 17.31 2006: 17.34 2005: 18.20 2004: 18.92 2003: 19 2002: 19.90 2001: 15.40 2000: 15.80
Job losses/gains by industry December 2007 (start of recession) through November 2009.
ILLINOIS JOB LOSSESManufacturing: 96,300 Professional and business services: 84,400 Trade (includes retail), transportation and utilities: 79,100 Construction: 49,800 Financial activities: 29,900 Leisure/hospitality: 22,800 Information: 10,300 Other services: 6,100
ILLINOIS JOB GAINSEducation and health services: 13,600 Government: 3,500 Mining: 800
SPRINGFIELD AREA (Sangamon and Menard counties) JOB LOSSESFinancial services: 600 Trade, transportation and utilities: 500 Manufacturing: 200 Government: 200 Construction/mining: 200 Information: 200 Other services: 200
SPRINGFIELD AREA JOB GAINSLeisure/hospitality: 400 Education and healthcare: 100
Source for all figures above: Illinois Department of Employment Security
Tim Landis can be reached at 217-788-1536.